000
FZPN03 KNHC 050316
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON OCT 05 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 07.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 20.6N 130.1W 988 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT
05 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SE QUADRANT AND 100 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SE QUADRANT 
AND 210 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 
NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT N OF 10N AND W OF A LINE FROM 30N120W TO 10N123W. 
FROM 00N TO 10N W OF 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 21.7N 132.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER... 
EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADARNT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
210 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT N OF 10N AND W OF A LINE FROM 30N126W TO 20N128W 
TO 10N131W. FROM 00N TO 10N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIE NEAR 22.9N 135.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
180 NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT FROM 16N TO 28N W OF 132W.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 23.6N
137.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 23.7N
139.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 23.5N
141.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N95.5W N TO 
NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM 
OF A LINE 16N95W TO 13N95.5W TO 11N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 07N TO 12N 
BETWEEN 92W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W 
TO 13.5N95.5W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF A LINE 16N95W TO 13.5N95.5W TO 
11N96.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
OF THE AREA FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 92W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 95W N WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 
100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N105W 1008 MB. WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. SE OF A LINE FROM 10N110W TO 
06N118W TO ANOTHER LINE FROM 10N104W TO 06N104W TO 03N110W TO 
03N118W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 02N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N107.5W 1007 MB. WITHIN 60 NM 
OF CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 103W AND 110W WINDS 
20 KT OT LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF THE 
AREA FROM 00N TO 10N BETWEEN 104W AND 122W...AND FROM 10N TO 12N 
BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SE AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14.5N109W 1006 MB. WITHIN 90 NM 
OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 
TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 107W AND 112W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF THE 
AREA FROM 00N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL.

.12 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 03.4S95W TO 02S110W TO 
00S120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 03.4S95W TO 00S105W TO 
00S120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N AND W OF A LINE FROM 03.4S96W TO 
00N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC MON OCT 5...

.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 13N90W TO 10N98W 
TO A 1008 MB LOW PRES NEAR 11N105W TO 10N115W TO 12N120W...THEN 
RESUMES W OF T.S. MARIE NEAR 12N134W TO BEYOND 08N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OBSERVED FROM 
07N TO 10N BETWEEN 81W AND 85W...FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 103W 
AND 111W...AND FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 118W AND 121W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.