447 
FZPN03 KNHC 032141
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT OCT 3 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 3.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT  4.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT  5.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 19.1N 127.3W 952 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 03 
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT 
GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM N SEMICIRCLE...360
NM SE QUADRANT AND 300 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. 
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 16N124W TO 16N128W TO 19N131W TO 22N129W TO 
22N125W TO 16N124W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA...WITHIN 11N121W TO 09N130W TO 22N137W TO 26N135W TO 
26N119W TO 11N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 20.6N 129.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND
330 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 
19N127W TO 18N129W TO 22N133W TO 24N129W TO 22N126W TO 19N127W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 
12N124W TO 15N140W TO 30N136W TO 24N131W TO 30N123W TO 12N124W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 21.3N 130.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM ALL QUADRANTS EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 21N127W TO 
19N131W TO 22N134W TO 24N132W TO 23N128W TO 21N127W WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 14N125W TO 
15N140W TO 27N140W TO 24N132W TO 30N122W TO 14N125W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 21.9N 131.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 20N129W TO 19N132W TO 22N135W TO 25N132W TO 
22N128W TO 20N129W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA...WITHIN 17N126W TO 15N140W TO 26N140W TO 30N135W TO 
26N126W TO 17N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 23.0N 134.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIE NEAR 24.0N 135.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 25.5N
136.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 14N94W TO 11N95W TO 12N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 
14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.
SEAS 11 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 13N93W TO 11N96W TO 12N97W 
TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO 13N93W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 
TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 08N95W TO 10N103W TO 12N99W 
TO 16N95W TO 12N92W TO 08N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N95W TO 12N96W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO
14N94W TO 12N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 13N94W TO 
11N96W TO 13N97W TO 16N95W TO 15N94W TO 13N94W N WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 10N95W TO 12N98W 
TO 16N96W TO 16N94W TO 15N93W TO 10N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
TO 8 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N95W TO 11N96W TO 12N97W TO 16N95W TO
15N94W TO 12N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 13N94W TO
11N96W TO 13N97W TO 16N96W TO 16N95W TO 13N94W N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 11N94W TO 
10N98W TO 13N98W TO 16N96W TO 16N94W TO 11N94W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 09N104W 1010 MB. WITHIN 03N103W TO 03N104W TO 
07N106W TO 09N102W TO 03N103W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 06N102W TO 02N103W TO 06N106W TO 
09N102W TO 08N98W TO 06N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N108W 1009 MB. WITHIN 10N105W 
TO 09N106W TO 10N106W TO 11N106W TO 11N104W TO 10N105W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 06N99W TO 
07N113W TO 12N103W TO 09N101W TO 10N91W TO 06N99W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 12N111W 1008 MB. WITHIN 10N105W 
TO 06N112W TO 06N116W TO 09N115W TO 13N105W TO 10N105W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 05N135W TO 05N137W TO 07N137W TO
09N132W TO 07N132W TO 05N135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02N136W TO 01N140W TO 08N140W TO
10N136W TO 07N134W TO 02N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN N TO NE SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S109W TO 03.4S114W TO 03S113W TO 
02S112W TO 03.4S109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S TO
SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 01S111W TO 03.4S120W TO 02N119W TO 
03N110W TO 01S111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN W TO 
SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1800 UTC SAT OCT 3...

.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 
150 NM OF CENTER ALL QUADRANTS EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N86W TO 08N102W TO 14N114W, 
THEN FROM 12N126W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 10N
E OF 82W AND FROM 08N TO 13W BETWEEN 98W AND 110W.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.