000
FZPN03 KNHC 030314
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT OCT 03 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 05.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 

HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 17.5N 125.7W 948 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 03 
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE...330 NM SE QUADRANT 
AND 240 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 
NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 270 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 08N TO 27N BETWEEN 115W 
AND 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 19.2N 127.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
300 NM N SEMICIRCLE...330 NM SE QUADRANT AND 240 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
270 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
OF THE AREA N OF 08N W OF 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 20.6N 129.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
270 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 300 NM N AND 270 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA N OF 10N W OF 120W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 21.1N 131.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 21.6N 132.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 22.5N 134.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIE NEAR 24.0N 136.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N95.5W N TO 
NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM 
OF A LINE 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N95.5W TO 11N97W N TO NE WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 08N TO 
12N BETWEEN 92W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W 
TO 13N95.5W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N95.5W TO 
10.5N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER 
OF THE AREA FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N95.5W 
N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 
NM OF A LINE 16N95W TO 14N95.5W TO 11N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 06N TO 12N 
BETWEEN 90W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 119W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC SAT OCT 3...

.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IN A BAND WITHIN 45 NM 
OF A LINE FROM 17N124W TO 15N124.5W TO 13N127W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 11N90W TO 08N100W TO 
11N108W...THEN RESUMES W OF HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 10N127W TO 
09N136W. THE ITCZ IS FROM 09N136W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 06N 
TO 11N BETWEEN 82W AND 88W...AND FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 98W AND 
102W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.