000
FZPN03 KNHC 022107
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI OCT 2 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 2.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT  3.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT  4.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 16.9N 125.0W 948 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 02
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...330 NM SE
QUADRANT...210 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 37 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 12N120W TO 10N126W TO 19N129W TO 
21N126W TO 19N122W TO 12N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 12N115W TO 09N126W TO 16N131W TO 
23N128W TO 19N114W TO 12N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 18.6N 127.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE 
QUADRANT...390 NM SE QUADRANT...270 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 300 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 41 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 15N125W TO 
16N129W TO 19N131W TO 22N129W TO 20N124W TO 15N125W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 16N118W TO 
09N129W TO 20N137W TO 27N134W TO 25N120W TO 16N118W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 20.1N 129.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
300 NM ALL QUADRANTS EXCEPT 360 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 34 
FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 18N128W TO 19N133W TO 23N133W TO 24N130W 
TO 22N126W TO 18N128W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA...WITHIN 10N124W TO 05N138W TO 30N138W TO 
23N128W TO 30N121W TO 10N124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.60 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 20.6N 130.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 21.2N 132.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 22.0N 134.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIE NEAR 23.5N 136.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 14N94W TO 12N94W TO 12N97W TO 15N96W TO 16N94W TO 
14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 
35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 11N93W TO 10N95W TO 
10N100W TO 12N101W TO 16N95W TO 11N93W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N94W TO 11N96W TO 13N97W TO 16N95W TO
15N94W TO 12N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE 
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 08N92W TO
06N101W TO 07N105W TO 11N99W TO 16N95W TO 08N92W NE WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 07N95W TO 06N113W TO 12N103W TO 09N101W
TO 16N95W TO 07N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO 
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1800 UTC FRI OCT 2...

.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER ALL QUADRANTS EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 10N106W...AND FROM 10N127W
TO 09N136W. THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N136W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 85W AND 103W AND FROM 12N TO 
19N BETWEEN 109W AND 113W. 

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.