230 
FZPN03 KNHC 020316
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI OCT 02 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 04.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 15.6N 122.1W 957 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 02 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT 
GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT 
AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 
NM OF CENTER...EXCEP 180 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 116W AND 128W SW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 08N TO 21N 
BETWEEN 110W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 17.3N 125.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...180 
NM SW QUADRANT AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 240 NM SW QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA FROM 
08N TO 27N BETWEEN 114W AND 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 19.4N 128.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER... 
EXCEPT 210 SW QUDRANTE WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 
NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 240 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF THE AREA N OF 10N W OF 115W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 20.8N 131.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 22.0N 134.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 23.4N 136.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 12N97W 
N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF THE 
AREA FROM 04N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W 
TO 13.5N95.5W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13.5N95.5W 
TO 12N99W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER 
OF THE AREA FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 103W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W 
TO 13N95.5W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF A LINE 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N95.5W TO 
11N100W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF 
THE AREA FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 92W AND 103W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 
14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 
11N96.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER 
OF THE AREA FROM 05N TO 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 106W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.NW OF A LINE FROM 30N130W TO 22N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC THU OCT 1...

.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM 
OF CENTER. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 120W AND 124W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 N AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER.  

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 09N105W, THEN RESUMES 
W OF HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 10N126W TO 09N135W. THE ITCZ IS FROM 
09N135W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 04N TO 09N BETWEEN 81W AND 88W...FROM 
10N TO 15N BETWEEN 93W TO 102W...AND FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 
110W AND 115W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.