000
FZPN03 KNHC 012154
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU OCT 1 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT  2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT  3.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 15.1N 120.9W 970 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 01
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT
GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...270 NM SE
QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N115W TO 07N121W TO 08N125W TO 19N123W TO 
19N118W TO 10N115W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 09N115W TO 09N120W TO 13N116W TO 
19N122W TO 16N110W TO 09N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 16.7N 125.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...390 NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM W
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N119W TO 
10N125W TO 17N130W TO 21N128W TO 21N122W TO 12N119W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N115W TO 
09N125W TO 15N130W TO 21N128W TO 18N114W TO 11N115W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 18.8N 128.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM ALL QUADRANTS 
EXCEPT 390 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
14N125W TO 16N131W TO 23N132W TO 24N125W TO 20N122W TO 14N125W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
11N120W TO 08N130W TO 13N135W TO 26N133W TO 21N117W TO 11N120W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 20.3N 130.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 21.4N 133.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 23.0N 136.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 12N96W TO 13N97W TO 16N96W TO 16N95W TO 15N94W TO
12N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N96W TO 06N94W TO 
06N97W TO 11N101W TO 15N94W TO 10N96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N93W TO 13N96W TO 13N97W TO 16N96W TO
16N93W TO 15N93W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 07N93W TO 
06N101W TO 11N101W TO 16N95W TO 11N96W TO 07N93W N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N94W TO 14N95W TO 15N95W TO 16N95W TO
16N94W TO 14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 
25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N94W TO 12N97W 
TO 16N96W TO 15N94W TO 13N94W...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
11 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N94W TO 10N96W TO 12N100W
TO 16N95W TO 15N93W TO 11N94W...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N94W TO 12N94W TO 12N97W TO 16N96W TO
16N94W TO 13N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 09N91W TO 
06N102W TO 11N102W TO 11N99W TO 16N95W TO 09N91W...WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 27N136W TO 25N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N133W TO 27N136W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2010 UTC THU OCT 1...

.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM NW 
QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 10N86W TO 10N97W TO 09N103W TO 12N111W,
AND FROM 11N124W TO 10N134W. ITCZ AXIS FROM 10N134W TO 12N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 04N TO 11N BETWEEN 79W
AND 88W, FROM 06N TO 16N BETWEEN 93W TO 102W AND FROM 13N TO 18N
BETWEEN 110W AND 113W.

$$
.FORECASTER HAGEN/KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.