000
FZPN03 KNHC 011606
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU OCT 1 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT  2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT  3.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 15.2N 119.5W 973 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 01
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE
QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N113W TO 09N122W TO 13N124W TO 
19N122W TO 18N116W TO 12N113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N109W TO 08N115W TO 09N120W TO 
14N114W TO 19N115W TO 13N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 16.8N 124.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...400 NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM 
SW QUADRANT...150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 39 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 09N120W TO 09N125W TO 15N128W TO 20N127W TO 16N118W TO 
09N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 10N116W TO 09N126W TO 16N128W TO 21N123W TO 19N114W TO 
10N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 18.8N 127.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE 
QUADRANT...420 NM SE QUADRANT...270 NM SW QUADRANT...240 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 47 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N123W TO 13N129W 
TO 16N133W TO 23N130W TO 23N124W TO 14N123W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 10N120W TO 08N129W TO 
22N134W TO 25N126W TO 23N118W TO 10N120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 20.4N 130.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 21.7N 133.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 23.8N 136.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 12N96W TO 12N97W TO 14N98W TO 16N95W TO 15N94W TO
12N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 08N95W TO 08N99W TO 
12N101W TO 16N95W TO 12N94W TO 08N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N94W TO 13N95W TO 14N96W TO 16N96W TO
16N94W TO 14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 
25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 07N93W TO 06N101W
TO 11N101W TO 16N95W TO 10N96W TO 07N93W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N95W TO 14N96W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO
15N94W TO 14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 
25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N93W TO 11N96W 
TO 13N98W TO 16N96W TO 16N94W TO 13N93W...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
12N94W TO 11N98W TO 13N99W TO 16N96W TO 15N93W TO 12N94W...WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N95W TO 15N95W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO
14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 25 TO 35 
KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N94W TO 11N96W TO 15N96W
TO 16N95W TO 15N93W TO 12N94W...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
11 TO 13 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 09N92W TO 
08N99W TO 11N102W TO 12N99W TO 16N95W TO 09N92W...N WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 27N138W TO 26N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N135W TO 27N138W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1200 UTC THU OCT 1...

.HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 210 NM OF 
CENTER N SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 10N103W TO 13N110W 
AND FROM 11N124W TO 11N135W. ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N135W TO 
12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 93W AND 99W...FROM 08N TO 17N BETWEEN 104W AND 112W.

$$
.FORECASTER HAGEN/KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.