000
FZPN03 KNHC 010300
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU OCT 1 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 1.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT  2.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT  3.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 14.5N 116.5W 988 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 01
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...210 NM SE QUADRANT AND
150 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N112W 
TO 09N117W TO 13N116W TO 17N117W TO 13N112W TO 10N112W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 09N108W TO 
08N118W TO 17N120W TO 19N111W TO 16N107W TO 09N108W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 15.3N 121.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM E AND 150 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N117W TO 
10N118W TO 12N123W TO 18N125W TO 17N119W TO 14N117W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 14N109W TO 08N114W
TO 09N125W TO 19N125W TO 21N113W TO 14N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 17.2N 125.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT
210 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N122W 
TO 13N124W TO 17N130W TO 20N129W TO 19N123W TO 14N122W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 14N115W TO 
09N127W TO 21N132W TO 24N129W TO 23N116W TO 14N115W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 19.1N 129.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 20.7N 131.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 22.6N 134.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND
INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 14.5N95W TO 14.5N95.5W TO 15N95.5W TO 16N95W TO 15N94.5W
TO 14.5N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 30 TO
35 KT.SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N97W TO 16N95W TO 
16N94W TO 14N94W TO 12N97W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO
14 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 11N93W TO 10N96W TO 13N100W TO 
16N95W TO 15N94W TO 11N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94.5W TO 14.5N95.5W TO 15.5N95.5W TO
16N95W TO 16N94.5W TO 15N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 14N94W TO 14N95W TO 13N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 14N94W N
TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN
05N94W TO 06N103W TO 12N101W TO 16N95W TO 10N96W TO 05N94W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 14N95W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO
15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 30 TO 40 
KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N95W TO 12N97W TO 16N95W
TO 16N94W TO 14N94W TO 12N95W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10
TO 14 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 08N93W TO 08N98W TO 12N101W TO 
16N95W TO 14N93W TO 08N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN N TO NE SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 29N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N139W TO 29N140W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 27N134W TO 25N137W TO 26N138W TO 
30N137W TO 30N131W TO 27N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC THU OCT 1...

HURRICANE MARIE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS 
NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 112W AND 123W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 10N93W TO 14N105W, 
THEN RESUMES W OF HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 11N125W TO 10N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 
05N TO 13N BETWEEN 81W AND 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
NOTED FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W.

$$ 
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.