000
FZPN03 KNHC 161610
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED SEP 16 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 18.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 22.6N 123.9W 1004 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP
16 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...60
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
WITHIN 19N119W TO 20N127W TO 25N127W TO 27N124W TO 22N118W TO 
19N119W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 23.2N 
125.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 23.8N 
126.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 21N126W
TO 21N130W TO 26N130W TO 26N128W TO 26N125W TO 21N126W WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 23.9N 
128.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. WITHIN 23N127W
TO 22N128W TO 24N132W TO 25N131W TO 26N127W TO 23N127W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.60 HOUR FORECAST POST- TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 23.6N 
129.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 03.4S94W TO 03.4S120W TO 01S120W TO 01S108W TO 03.4S94W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL. WITHIN 08N103W TO
07N105W TO 06N110W TO 11N106W TO 12N101W TO 08N103W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S92W TO 03S120W TO 05N113W TO
10N105W TO 05N104W TO 03.4S92W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
SE TO S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02N81W TO 01N85W TO 03N86W TO 06N86W TO
05N79W TO 02N81W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA... WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 04N81W TO 04N86W TO 07N86W TO 07N83W TO
06N81W TO 04N81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1600 UTC WED SEP 16...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 14N95W TO
09N115W...AND FROM 16N128W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM
15N TO 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 110W. 

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.