000
FZPN03 KNHC 160905
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED SEP 16 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 18.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 21.7N 123.7W 1003 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
16 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...
80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 22N121W TO 20N122W TO 20N124W TO 24N126W TO 25N122W TO
22N121W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 17N119W TO 19N125W TO 25N127W TO 25N118W TO 22N117W TO
17N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 22.4N 124.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 23.1N 
126.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 24N124W
TO 24N126W TO 23N127W TO 24N128W TO 26N125W TO 24N124W WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N126W TO 22N130W TO
26N129W TO 26N124W TO 23N124W TO 20N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 23.4N 
128.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. WITHIN 24N129W
TO 23N130W TO 25N130W TO 26N128W TO 25N128W TO 24N129W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.60 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 23.1N 
129.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 03.4S95W TO 03.4S120W TO 02S120W TO 03S113W TO 03S100W
TO 03.4S95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S98W TO 03.4S117W TO 00N108W TO 
00N105W TO 02S103W TO 03.4S98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 06N108W TO 07N112W TO 08N113W TO
09N111W TO 08N108W TO 06N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 09N108W TO 08N113W TO 09N113W TO 
11N109W TO 11N107W TO 09N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S
TO SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0830 UTC WED SEP 16...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10.5N75W TO 09.5N81W TO 12.5N97W
TO 09N115W, THEN RESUMES SW OF KARINA FROM 15N127W TO 12N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 05.5N
TO 10N BETWEEN 81W AND 91W, FROM 10N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 90W AND 
104W, AND WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 07N114W TO 
21N107W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 10N TO 14N 
BETWEEN 125W AND 136W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.