000 FZPN03 KNHC 150934 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 15. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 16. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 17. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 19.8N 120.6W 996 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 15 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE... 150 NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N117W TO 15N119W TO 19N123W TO 23N122W TO 21N117W TO 15N117W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N112W TO 13N118W TO 14N123W TO 23N122W TO 21N113W TO 17N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 22.0N 123.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N122W TO 21N124W TO 24N126W TO 25N123W TO 23N121W TO 21N122W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N119W TO 20N125W TO 24N126W TO 26N122W TO 23N116W TO 17N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 23.7N 125.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N124W TO 23N125W TO 23N126W TO 25N128W TO 26N126W TO 24N124W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N126W TO 23N130W TO 26N129W TO 27N125W TO 25N124W TO 20N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .60 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 24.0N 126.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 23.9N 127.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 23.1N 129.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .WITHIN 10N130W TO 10N133W TO 11N133W TO 12N129W TO 12N128W TO 10N130W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N128W TO 09N130W TO 09N135W TO 11N133W TO 13N129W TO 10N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .WITHIN 13N136W TO 15N140W TO 16N140W TO 18N134W TO 16N136W TO 13N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND NE SWELL. .18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .WITHIN 03.4S114.5W TO 03.4S120W TO 03S120W TO 03S117.5W TO 03S116W TO 03.4S114.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE TO S SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S94W TO 03S111W TO 03.4S120W TO 01S120W TO 03S98W TO 03.4S94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S99W TO 03.4S116W TO 01S109W TO 02S101W TO 03.4S99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 08N107W TO 08N108W TO 08N108W TO 09N108W TO 08N107W TO 08N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 08N109W TO 08N111W TO 10N110W TO 11N108W TO 11N105W TO 08N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC TUE SEP 15... .TROPICAL STORM KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 119W AND 124W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N73W TO 09N87W TO 13N100W, THEN RESUMES FROM SW OF KARINA NEAR 16N126W TO LOW PRESSURE NEAR 14N134.5W 1010 MB TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN THE COAST AS FAR NORTH AS 18N BETWEEN 89W AND 112W AND NORTH OF 16N TO THE MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN ACAPULCO AND SAN BLAS. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 09N TO 13.5N WEST OF 125W. $$ .FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.