000
FZPN03 KNHC 150329
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE SEP 15 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 17.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 19.1N 119.8W 996 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
15 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...270 NM SE QUADRANT... 
150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N116W TO 15N120W TO 20N122W TO 22N121W TO 
21N117W TO 16N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 14N113W TO 12N126W TO 15N122W TO 
22N122W TO 20N113W TO 14N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 13 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 21.3N 122.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 100 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT... 
120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N120W TO 19N122W TO 23N125W TO 25N123W TO 
24N121W TO 20N120W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA WITHIN 16N117W TO 16N122W TO 23N126W TO 25N116W TO 
22N114W TO 16N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 23.3N 124.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 
NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 24N123W TO 
23N124W TO 23N128W TO 26N127W TO 26N124W TO 24N123W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 20N123W TO 
21N128W TO 25N128W TO 26N124W TO 24N123W TO 20N123W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .60 HOUR FORECAST 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 23.8N 125.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT 
LOW KARINA NEAR 23.9N 126.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS
35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE 
LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 
23.5N 128.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 14N134W TO 13N136W TO 16N138W TO 18N135W TO 18N133W TO
14N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND NE 
SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 10N130.5W TO 10N131W TO 10.5N131.5W TO 11N131.5W TO
11N131W TO 10N130.5W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N126W TO 09N129W TO 11N131W TO 11N129W TO 
12N126W TO 10N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SE 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S115W TO 03.4S120W TO 03S120W TO
03.5S115W TO 03.4S115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE TO S
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S113W TO 03.4S120W TO 03S120W TO 
03S116W TO 03.4S113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC TUE SEP 15...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 300 NM SW SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM NE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 14N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 119W AND 122W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N73W TO 08N81W TO 13N98W TO 
12N103W, THEN RESUMES FROM W OF KARINA NEAR 15N126W TO LOW 
PRESSURE NEAR 14N134W 1010 MB TO 10.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 07.5N TO THE COAST AS 
FAR NORTH AS 18N BETWEEN 10N BETWEEN 81W AND 110W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 08N TO 13.5N WEST OF 126W.  

$$ 
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.