000
FZPN03 KNHC 142052
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON SEP 14 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 16.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.5N 118.8W 1001 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP
14 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...270 NM SE QUADRANT...120
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N114W TO 13N116W TO 13N121W TO 22N121W TO 
21N115W TO 14N114W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA WITHIN 13N113W TO 12N122W TO 21N122W TO 23N115W TO 
21N113W TO 13N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 20.8N 121.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM S SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 
NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N119W TO 18N122W TO 21N125W TO 
24N125W TO 23N119W TO 19N119W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 17N114W TO 14N120W TO 18N125W TO 
25N123W TO 24N117W TO 17N114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 23.0N 124.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 23N122W TO 21N125W TO 21N126W TO 25N126W TO 
25N123W TO 23N122W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA WITHIN 21N121W TO 19N124W TO 21N127W TO 25N128W TO 
26N122W TO 21N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 24.0N 125.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 23.5N 
127.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND
INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N134W 1008 MB. WITHIN 09N127W TO 09N129W TO 
09N130W TO 10N130W TO 10N127W TO 09N127W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL. WITHIN 14N134W TO 15N136W TO 
17N136W TO 19N133W TO 19N130W TO 14N134W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N136W 1010 MB. WITHIN 17N136W 
TO 16N138W TO 18N138W TO 18N136W TO 17N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL. WITHIN 09N133W TO 09N137W TO 
11N136W TO 13N131W TO 13N129W TO 09N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N137W 1011 MB. WITHIN 16N137W 
TO 16N138W TO 17N139W TO 18N138W TO 18N136W TO 16N137W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL.

.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S111.5W TO 03.4S120W TO 03S120W TO
03S115.5W TO 03S112.5W TO 03.4S111.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S109.5W TO 03.4S120W TO 02.5S117W 
TO 02.5S114.5W TO 03.4S109.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S99.5W TO 03.4S119.5W TO 03S118.5W 
TO 03S109.5W TO 03S100.5W TO 03.4S99.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2000 UTC MON SEP 14...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 360 NM SW SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM NE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 124W AND 127W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 14N110W THEN RESUMES W-SW OF 
KARINA NEAR 17N125W TO LOW PRESSURE NEAR 14N134W TO 09N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 77W 
AND 87W...ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 84W AND 92W...AND 
WITHIN 15N106W TO 15N99W TO 12N92W TO 07N99W TO 09N108W TO 
11N109W TO 15N106W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 
134W AND 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.