000
FZPN03 KNHC 140316
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON SEP 14 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 16.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.2N 117.1W 1001 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
14 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NE
QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...130 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...90
NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N116W TO 11N124W TO 16N118W TO 
19N117W TO 18N113W TO 11N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N111W TO 13N120W TO 16N115W TO 20N118W 
TO 20N111W TO 13N111W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 19.4N 119.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM SE AND 60 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N115W TO 
13N120W TO 17N119W TO 23N120W TO 19N116W TO 16N115W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
16N112W TO 12N115W TO 11N122W TO 23N120W TO 21N113W TO 16N112W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 21.0N 122.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM
SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
19N119W TO 18N122W TO 21N124W TO 23N124W TO 24N121W TO 19N119W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF 
AREA WITHIN 16N117W TO 17N122W TO 20N125W TO 24N122W TO 23N118W 
TO 16N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 22.3N 124.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE
FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 22.5N 
126.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 17N131W TO 17N132W TO 18N131W TO 19N130W TO 18N130W TO
17N131W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
18N125W TO 16N130W TO 18N132W TO 20N132W TO 20N128W TO 18N125W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N134W TO 14N137W TO 15N137W TO 
18N134W TO 19N132W TO 14N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
MIXED SE AND NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N136W TO 15N138W TO 17N139W TO 
19N136W TO 17N134W TO 15N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S114W TO 03.4S117.5W TO 03S116.5W
TO 03S115W TO 03.4S114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO 
SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S101W TO 03.4S120W TO 02S120W TO 
01S119W TO 03S115W TO 03.4S101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
SE TO S SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 08N128W TO 07N132W TO 07N135W TO
09N135W TO 10N127W TO 08N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N133W TO 09N137W TO 10N138W TO 
12N134W TO 13N130W TO 10N133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0250 UTC MON SEP 14...

T.S. KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 300 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 
09N TO 13N BETWEEN 116W AND 127W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM WEST OF T.S. KARINA NEAR
17N120 TO 17.5N127W TO LOW PRES NEAR 16N131W 1007 MB, THEN RESUME 
FROM NEAR 10N135W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 08N TO 13N E OF 108W, AND WITHIN 120 NM
OF THE COASTLINE FROM NICARAGUA TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.