000
FZPN03 KNHC 132041
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.8N 116.0W 1001 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP
13 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NE
QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...130 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30
NM SW QUADRANT AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N111W TO 15N113W TO 15N116W TO 20N115W TO 
20N112W TO 17N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
AREA WITHIN 14N109W TO 10N115W TO 12N121W TO 20N116W TO 20N111W 
TO 14N109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 19.1N 118.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90
NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 17N117W TO 17N119W TO 19N121W TO 21N120W TO 20N116W TO 
17N117W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA 
WITHIN 14N113W TO 11N123W TO 17N117W TO 23N118W TO 20N112W TO 
14N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 20.5N 121.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N119W TO 19N122W TO 22N123W TO 
23N120W TO 21N119W TO 20N119W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 14N119W TO 20N124W TO 24N122W TO 
24N119W TO 19N114W TO 14N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 21.9N 123.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 22.5N 
126.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 22.5N 
128.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 03.4S94W TO 03.4S120W TO 02S120W TO 02S105W TO 03.4S94W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S94W TO 03.4S120W TO 02S120W TO 
02S105W TO 03.4S94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S111W TO 03.4S120W TO 01S120W TO 
01S114W TO 03.4S111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S96W TO 03.4S120W TO 00N120W TO 
00N111W TO 01S104W TO 03.4S96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
S TO SW SWELL.

.WITHIN 18N128W TO 17N130W TO 18N131W TO 19N130W TO 20N128W TO
18N128W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
18N124W TO 17N129W TO 18N131W TO 19N131W TO 20N127W TO 18N124W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N134W TO 16N136W TO 19N133W TO 
19N131W TO 18N129W TO 14N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN MIXED SE AND NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N128W TO 07N134W TO 09N139W TO 
17N139W TO 19N133W TO 11N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
MIXED SE AND NE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2040 UTC SUN SEP 13...

T.S. KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 
12N TO 19N BETWEEN 113W AND 127W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N85W TO 16N103W. IT RESUMES FROM 16N120W 
TO 16N126W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 
03N TO 07N E OF 84W...AND FROM 05N TO 15N BETWEEN 90W AND 106W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.