000
FZPN03 KNHC 131500
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.6N 114.7W 1001 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP
13 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 80 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N112W TO 11N116W TO 12N119W TO 19N112W TO 
15N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN
12N108W TO 11N122W TO 15N116W TO 19N116W TO 19N109W TO 12N108W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 19.0N 117.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90
NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N116W TO 
19N119W TO 21N118W TO 20N114W TO 15N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 12N114W TO 10N126W TO 15N119W 
TO 22N119W TO 22N111W TO 12N114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 20.2N 120.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 70 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N118W TO 19N120W TO 18N121W TO 22N122W TO 
22N118W TO 18N118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
AREA WITHIN 17N114W TO 14N120W TO 20N123W TO 23N119W TO 23N117W 
TO 17N114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 21.7N 122.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 22.6N 125.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KARINA NEAR 22.8N 
127.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 19N127W TO 18N128W TO 20N129W TO 20N127W TO 19N127W NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N124W TO 
18N128W TO 20N129W TO 21N127W TO 20N124W TO 18N124W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND NE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N131W TO 15N135W TO 17N134W TO 
19N131W TO 19N128W TO 15N131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN MIXED SE AND NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 17N134W TO 14N137W TO 18N137W TO 
19N135W TO 19N134W TO 17N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN MIXED SE AND NE SWELL. WITHIN 09N130W TO 08N136W TO 
09N137W TO 11N132W TO 11N128W TO 09N130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND NE SWELL.

.WITHIN 03.4S89W TO 03.4S120W TO 02S120W TO 02S108W TO 03S91W TO
03.4S89W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03S111W TO 03.4S120W TO 01S120W TO 
01S114W TO 01S112W TO 03S111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S
TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S103W TO 03.4S120W TO 01S120W TO 
01S109W TO 03.4S103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SUN SEP 13...

TS KARINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO
20N BETWEEN 113W AND 125W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N85W TO 13N103W. IT RESUMES FROM 17N121W 
TO 12N130W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 
07N TO 15N BETWEEN 90W AND 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W.


$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.