000
FZPN03 KNHC 130941
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 15.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.4N 113.8W 1003 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
13 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N111W TO 11N116W 
TO 11N120W TO 14N115W TO 19N114W TO 14N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N107W TO 10N112W TO 
12N124W TO 14N116W TO 19N115W TO 13N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 18.8N 116.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N114W TO 16N116W TO 18N117W TO 
21N117W TO 19N113W TO 17N114W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N113W TO 10N126W TO 14N118W TO 
21N118W TO 20N109W TO 11N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 19.9N 119.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N116W TO 16N119W TO 20N121W TO 
22N120W TO 21N117W TO 17N116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N113W TO 08N135W TO 15N121W TO 
21N122W TO 22N115W TO 15N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 21.2N 122.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE
FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 22.0N 124.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARINA NEAR 22.0N 127.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 19N124W TO 19N128W TO 20N128W TO 21N126W TO 20N124W TO
19N124W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
20N122W TO 19N122W TO 20N128W TO 21N127W TO 21N124W TO 20N122W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N132W TO 16N133W TO 17N132W TO 
16N132W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
15N131W TO 17N134W TO 19N133W TO 20N129W TO 19N127W TO 15N131W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND NE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N136W TO 14N138W TO 18N136W TO 
19N133W TO 18N132W TO 14N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN MIXED SE AND NE SWELL.

.WITHIN 03.4S96W TO 03.4S104W TO 03S103.5W TO 02.5S101W TO
02.5S98.5W TO 03.4S96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S114W TO 03.4S117.5W TO 03S116.5W 
TO 03S115W TO 03.4S114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 03.4S113W TO 03.4S120W TO 03S120W TO 
03S114.5W TO 03.4S113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SUN SEP 13...

.TROPICAL STORM KARINA NEAR 17.4N 113.8W...SCATTERED TO LOCALLY 
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 320 NM NW AND 300 NM SW 
QUADRANTS. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS FROM
16N TO 19N BETWEEN 119W AND 127W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N75W TO 13N92W TO 18N105W,
THEN RESUMES FROM LOW PRES 1007 MB NEAR 16N119W TO 12N128W TO
11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED 
FROM NORTH OF 06.5N TO THE COASTLINES BETWEEN 80W AND 99W, AND
FROM 08N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 121W AND 127W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.