000
FZPN03 KNHC 111618
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE AUG 11 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 13.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 21.3N 113.8W 975 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 11
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT
AND 135 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO
24N BETWEEN 111W AND 116W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 23.1N 118.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS 
TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 26N BETWEEN 115W TO 122W WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 23.9N 119.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 24.8N 
120.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 22N TO 26N FROM 119W TO 124W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 27.0N 
122.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 30N138.5W TO 30N139W TO 30N140W TO 30N138.5W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N138W TO 29N140W TO 30N140W TO
30N136W TO 29N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

.WITHIN 15N94W TO 14N95W TO 14N96W TO 16N96W TO 16N95W TO
15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... NE WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N103W TO 07N107W TO 07N109W TO
12N111W TO 14N106W TO 10N103W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N129W TO 08N130W TO 09N134W TO
13N134W TO 13N130W TO 10N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
E TO SE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1530 UTC TUE AUG 11...

NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 60 NM OF
THE CENTER OF ELIDA.

NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED NORTH 
OF 10N BETWEEN 94W AND 102W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR 
10N95W TO 11N107W. MONSOON TROUGH RESUMES FROM 13N117W TO 
11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG NORTH OF 07N 
EAST OF 80W AS WELL AS FROM 08N TO 12N FROM 117W TO 135W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W.

$$
.FORECASTER LANDSEA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.