000
FZPN03 KNHC 110412
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE AUG 11 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE AUG 11.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED AUG 12.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 13.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 20.1N 112.1W 983 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 11
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N108W 
TO 16N110W TO 19N115W TO 22N114W TO 23N109W TO 20N108W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 21.9N 116.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
17N116W TO 17N121W TO 21N122W TO 27N118W TO 23N113W TO 17N116W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 23.7N 120.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT.
WITHIN 19N117W TO 19N121W TO 22N124W TO 28N121W TO 28N117W TO 
19N117W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.60 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL ELIDA NEAR 24.3N 121.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 25.0N 
122.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 26.0N 
125.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 14N94W TO 14N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO
14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N92W TO 10N93W TO 11N95W TO 13N95W TO
13N92W TO 11N92W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N99W TO 13N101W TO 14N102W TO 15N100W
TO 15N98W TO 13N99W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SE TO S
SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N137W TO 28N140W TO 30N140W TO
30N137W TO 29N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC TUE AUG 11...

NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 30 NM OF 
THE CENTER. ELSEWHERE SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 
NM OF THE SW SEMICIRCLE OF ELIDA.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W 07N82W TO 1007 MB LOW 
PRESSURE NEAR 09N93W TO ANOTHER 1007 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTERED
NEAR 08N98W TO 07N103W. THE MONSOON TROUGH RESUMES FROM 15N113W 
TO 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR 12N126W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 93W AND 
104W...AND 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.