000
FZPN03 KNHC 102127
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON AUG 10 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 12.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 19.6N 110.9W 990 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 10
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT
AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 
19N107W TO 16N111W TO 20N113W TO 23N112W TO 23N109W TO 
19N107W...INCLUDING NEAR CABO CORRIENTES...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 21.4N 115.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 37 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N113W TO 17N116W TO 19N119W TO 24N119W TO 
25N113W TO 19N113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 23.0N 119.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 21N118W TO 21N121W TO 
22N123W TO 24N122W TO 25N120W TO 21N118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 19N117W TO 17N123W TO 
21N126W TO 28N123W TO 28N120W TO 19N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 23.8N 122.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 24.5N 
125.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 15N94W TO 14N95W TO 15N96W TO 16N96W TO 16N94W TO
15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N94W TO 14N95W TO 15N96W TO 16N96W TO
16N94W TO 15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N94W TO 11N95W TO 12N95W TO 13N95W TO
13N94W TO 12N94W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N98W TO 13N100W TO 14N102W TO 14N99W 
TO 13N97W TO 13N98W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N137W TO 28N138W TO 28N140W TO
30N140W TO 30N136W TO 29N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC MON AUG 10...

.HURRICANE ELIDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE AND STRONG IS WITHIN 200 NM
NE QUADRANT...WITHIN 160 NM SE QUADRANT...AND WITHIN 120 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N85W TO 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE 08N96W TO 
11N102W THEN FROM 14N113W TO 11N126W...CONTINUES WEST OF 10N130W
TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N TO 
13N E OF 100W...FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 117W AND 126W.

$$
.FORECASTER TORRES/JL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.