000
FZPN03 KNHC 100339
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON AUG 10 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE AUG 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED AUG 12.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 17.8N 107.4W 998 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG
10 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE
QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N104W TO 15N106W TO
18N109W TO 20N106W TO 19N105W TO 17N104W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 11 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 18.7N 109.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 19.6N 112.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
150 NM NE AND 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
17N110W TO 17N112W TO 19N114W TO 21N113W TO 21N109W TO 17N110W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 21.0N 117.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. LITTLE CHANGE. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N113W
TO 17N116W TO 21N121W TO 26N117W TO 23N114W TO 20N113W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 22.1N 121.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL ELIDA NEAR 22.0N 124.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 21.1N 
128.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 15N94.5W TO 15N95W TO 16N95W TO 16N94.5W TO
15N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... NW TO N WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N113W TO 07N124W TO 10N125W TO
12N117W TO 13N114W TO 10N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N117W TO 08N122W TO 11N124W TO
15N118W TO 15N116W TO 10N117W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN S SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N88W TO 11N93W TO 12N93W TO 12N88W TO
11N88W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N91W TO 11N93W TO 11N94W TO 12N94W TO
12N92W TO 12N91W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC MON AUG 10...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
SEGMENTS OF THE MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 09N86W TO 09N86W 
TO 07N97W AND FROM 12N110W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 
06N TO 08N BETWEEN 90W AND 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 
11N BETWEEN 121W AND 127W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.