000
FZPN03 KNHC 092048
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN AUG 9 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 9.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 11.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 17.0N 106.4W 1003 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
09 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE...15 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N105W TO 
15N106W TO 17N108W TO 19N107W TO 17N104W TO 15N105W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 18.9N 111.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 30 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N109W TO 
17N110W TO 18N112W TO 20N113W TO 21N110W TO 19N109W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 18N108W TO 16N109W
TO 19N113W TO 22N110W TO 20N107W TO 18N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 20.3N 116.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 20N114W TO 19N116W TO 20N118W TO 22N118W TO 22N116W TO 
20N114W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA 
WITHIN 18N113W TO 20N119W TO 24N118W TO 24N115W TO 21N112W TO 
18N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 21.6N 120.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 21.9N 124.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 21.3N 
127.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 10N107W TO 08N112W TO 08N119W TO 10N123W TO 12N113W TO
10N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N113W TO 10N117W TO 10N122W TO
11N121W TO 14N114W TO 11N113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT
IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 10N116W TO 08N122W TO 11N131W TO 
11N123W TO 15N117W TO 10N116W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
FT.

.WITHIN 14N95W TO 14N96W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO 15N94W TO
14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N95W TO 14N96W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO
15N94W TO 14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 10N91W TO 12N91W TO 12N90W TO
12N86W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N88W TO 11N93W TO 12N93W TO 13N92W TO
12N89W TO 11N88W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2040 UTC SUN AUG 9...

T.S. ELIDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 
THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 
14N TO 19N BETWEEN 103W AND 109W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 09N86W TO 08N92W TO 11N99W. IT 
CONTINUES FROM 12N110W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG N OF 04N E OF 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 101W AND 106W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 110W AND 140W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.