000
FZPN03 KNHC 090954
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN AUG 9 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 9.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 11.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 15.8N 104.1W 1006 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG
09 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 30 NM NE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N102W TO 14N104W TO 18N105W TO
18N102W TO 17N101W TO 15N102W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 17.9N 108.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 30 NM
SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N108W TO 17N110W
TO 20N109W TO 21N106W TO 19N105W TO 15N108W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 18.8N 111.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180
NM NE AND 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. WITHIN 17N108W TO
15N111W TO 18N113W TO 21N111W TO 22N108W TO 17N108W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 19.7N 113.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 60 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N112W TO 19N116W TO 23N115W TO
23N111W TO 21N110W TO 16N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 21.2N 119.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 21.9N 123.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 21.5N 127.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 15N94W TO 15N95W TO 14N95W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO
15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N94W TO 14N96W TO 15N96W TO 16N94W TO
15N94W TO 14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.WITHIN 09N105W TO 08N109W TO 07N117W TO 09N115W TO 11N110W TO
09N105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N112W TO 08N125W TO 10N124W TO
14N112W TO 11N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SUN AUG 9...

NUMEROUS MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM IN THE 
NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OF T.S. ELIDA.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A SEGMENT OF THE MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 08N93W TO 
11N100W. SECOND SEGMENT FROM 13N105W TO 11N115W TO 1010 MB LOW 
PRESSURE NEAR 10N125W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COAST OF COSTA RICA. SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 108W AND 
115W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 125W AND 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.