000
FZPN03 KNHC 082057
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED JUL 8 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 8.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL  9.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 10.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA NEAR 16.0N 107.7W 998 MB AT 2100 UTC
JUL 08 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50
KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...150 
NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH  
SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N104W TO 12N107W TO 15N110W TO 
18N109W TO 20N106W TO 14N104W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 12N102W TO 12N107W TO 14N104W TO 
18N104W TO 16N103W TO 12N102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA NEAR 18.0N 111.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN  
150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SW QUADRANT AND WITHIN 120 NM WITH 
SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N111W TO 15N114W TO 19N113W TO
21N111W TO 19N108W TO 14N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N107W TO 13N110W TO 14N112W TO 
19N113W TO 21N108W TO 16N107W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CRISTINA NEAR 18.9N 113.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT..70 NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 
NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N111W TO 17N115W TO 19N115W TO 21N113W TO 
20N110W TO 16N111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA WITHIN 16N108W TO 14N113W TO 17N116W TO 23N113W TO 
20N108W TO 16N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CRISTINA NEAR 19.8N 115.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 205 NM NE QUADRANT...150 
NM SE AND NW QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N112W TO 14N117W TO 19N118W TO 22N117W TO 
22N113W TO 19N112W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA WITHIN 13N112W TO 14N117W TO 22N118W TO 24N114W TO 
20N109W TO 13N112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA NEAR 21.1N 120.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA NEAR 21.5N 126.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW CRISTINA NEAR 22.0N
132.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 24N125W TO 21N135W TO 24N136W TO 30N126W TO 30N119W TO
24N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW 
SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 15N121W 1010 MB. WITHIN 13N119W TO 11N121W TO 
11N124W TO 13N124W TO 15N120W TO 13N119W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 16N122W 1007 MB. WITHIN 12N120W 
TO 12N123W TO 13N122W TO 15N120W TO 14N118W TO 12N120W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NW TO N AND S SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 16N122.5W 1008 MB. CONDITIONS 
IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 03.4S102W TO 03.4S113W TO 02S106W TO 03.4S102W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC WED JUL 8...

.TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM NE SEMICIRCLE 
AND FROM 05N TO 13N BETWEEN 104W AND 117W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N78W TO 08N89W TO 07N100W THEN RESUMES 
FROM 13N110W TO LOW PRES NEAR 15N121W TO 11N130W TO 09N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 78W 
AND 88W AND FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 125W AND 133W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 134W AND 136W AND FROM 10.5N TO
12N BETWEEN 135W AND 137W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.