000
FZPN03 KNHC 070323
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE JUL 07 2020

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA NEAR 11.2N 101.3W 1005 MB AT 0300 UTC 
JUL 07 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
30 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM E AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 
94W AND 108W...AND FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 95W AND 100W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA NEAR 12.9N 105.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 90 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 97W AND 105W...AND FROM 07N TO 10N 
BETWEEN 99W AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CRISTINA NEAR 13.9N 107.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CRISTINA NEAR 14.8N 109.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
60 NM SW QUDARANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 19N BETWEEN 102W AND 110W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CRISTINA NEAR 16.5N 112.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CRISTINA NEAR 18.1N 116.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CRISTINA NEAR 19.9N 121.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N124W 1007 MB. WITHIN 120 NM SE QUADRANT OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 
13N BETWEEN 116W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N123W 1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM 
SE QUADRANT OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 116W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N121W 1006 MB. WITHIN 150 NM 
SE QUADRANT OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 

.N OF 28N BETWEEN 120W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF A LINE FROM 30N117W TO 26N120W TO 22N130W 
TO 22N134W TO 26N134W TO 30N128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 120W AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN N SWELL. FROM 20N TO 24N W OF 125W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 102W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0300 UTC TUE JUL 7...

.T.S. CRISTINA...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE OVER 
NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 09N74W TO 11N85W TO T.S. CRISTINA NEAR 
11N101W TO LOW PRESSURE NEAR 12.5N124W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 12N TO 17N 
BETWEEN 113W AND 117W, WITHIN 120 NM IN THE NW SEMICIRCLE OF THE 
LOW NEAR 12.5N124W...FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 125W AND 130W... 
AND FROM 06N TO 13N W OF 135W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.