000
FZPN03 KNHC 161606
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT NOV 16 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT NOV 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN NOV 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON NOV 18.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND NEAR 16.5N 111.7W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC
NOV 16 MOVING N OR 355 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45
KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
150 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND
30 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N108W 
TO 14N109W TO 16N111W TO 18N111W TO 18N108W TO 16N108W WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N109W TO 
15N116W TO 20N109W TO 17N105W TO 11N109W S WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND NEAR 20.0N 111.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 18N109W TO 19N113W TO 22N111W TO 20N108W TO 
18N109W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 18N106W TO 16N108W TO 13N114W TO 26N115W TO 22N107W TO 
18N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION RAYMOND NEAR 22.2N 110.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION RAYMOND NEAR 24.5N 111.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 90 NM NE
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 9.2N 100.2W 1006 MB AT
1500 UTC NOV 16 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 9.2N 101.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 9.4N 102.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 07N96W TO 08N104W TO 12N105W TO 12N100W TO 
11N96W TO 07N96W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 9.9N 104.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N101W TO 08N102W TO 09N106W TO 12N105W TO 
12N103W TO 10N101W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 10.3N 
107.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TWENTY-ONE-E NEAR 
10.5N 110.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.N OF 14N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 09N100W TO 11N101W TO 13N97W TO 16N95W TO 
13N94W TO 09N100W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 12N92W TO 09N100W TO 12N101W TO 16N95W 
TO 15N93W TO 12N92W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N96W TO 13N97W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO
15N94W TO 13N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE 
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N95W TO 
12N100W TO 16N97W TO 16N94W TO 14N93W TO 10N95W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N94W TO 13N95W TO 13N96W TO 16N96W TO
16N94W TO 14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 15N134.5W 1010 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N127W TO 
15N128W TO 12N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N117W TO 19N127W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED. WITHIN 12N115W TO 08N140W
TO 25N140W TO 30N130W TO 30N115W TO 12N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N139W TO 14N140W TO 30N140W TO 
30N138W TO 26N138W TO 14N139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SAT NOV 16...

.T.S. RAYMOND...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM
SE QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 14N TO 18N
BETWEEN 107W AND 112W.

.T.D. TWENTY-ONE-E...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
150 NM OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 09N98W...THEN RESUMES FROM 
14N113W TO 10N120W TO 12N128W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 12N128W TO
14N133W...THEN RESUMES FROM 12N136W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH E OF
81W...WITHIN 90 NM OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 87W AND 91W...AND
FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 114W AND 118W. 

$$ 
.FORECASTER REINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.