000
FZPN03 KNHC 161526
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED OCT 16 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 18.

.WARNINGS.

.NONE.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 16.2N 96.2W 1005 MB 
AT 1500 UTC OCT 16 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 14N 
BETWEEN 94W AND 97W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 13N BETWEEN 93W AND 97W WINDS WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN-E INLAND NEAR 
17.3N 97.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 90W AND 95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN SW SWELL. FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 94W AND 101W SW WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 91W 
AND 102 WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 96W AND 105W SW WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 
94W AND 108 WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 98W AND 108W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N126W 1009 MB. WITHIN 60 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10.5N126W 1009 MB. WITHIN 90 NM 
NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N125W 1008 MB. WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 132W AND 138W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 16N TO 19N W OF 136W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 16N TO 19N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 19N W OF 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 20N W OF 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.18 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N135W TO 28N140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N132W TO 27N140W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N118W TO 27N130W TO 24N140W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N116W TO 25N120W TO 23N130W 
TO 20N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL...
HIGHEST N OF 29N BETWEEN 120W AND 135W.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC WED OCT 16...

.POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E...NUMEROUS MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG N OF 14N BETWEEN 96W AND 100W. NUMEROUS MODERATE 
TO STRONG WITHIN ABOUT 150 NM OF THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 
100W AND 104W.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N126W...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 13N 
BETWEEN 122W AND 126W.

.TROUGH FROM 16N135W TO 10N135W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 07N TO 11N W OF 138W.  

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE OVER 
NORTHERN COLOMBIA NEAR 10N74W TO 15.5N95W TO 11N110W TO 1009 MB 
LOW PRESSURE NEAR 12.5N126W TO 13N134W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED N OF 05N E OF 81W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF PANAMA. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS SEEN FROM 
10N TO 14N BETWEEN 90W AND 94W...FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 98W AND 
114W...AND FROM 09N TO 10N BETWEEN 126W AND 131W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.