000
FZPN03 KNHC 160301
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED OCT 16 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 18.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 13.7N 93.4W 1005 MB
AT 0300 UTC OCT 16 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 07N93W TO 07N99W 
TO 10N94W TO 14N90W TO 10N88W TO 07N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 14.6N 94.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW
QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 16N95W TO 12N88W TO 07N93W TO 07N100W TO
12N94W TO 14N98W TO 16N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEVENTEEN-E INLAND NEAR 16.2N 
96.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 
NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT. WITHIN 14N94W TO 11N91W TO 07N98W TO 07N107W TO 14N94W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SEVENTEEN-E NEAR 
17.6N 97.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN
14N96W TO 10N93W TO 07N104W TO 11N106W TO 14N96W SW WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 12N96W
TO 11N99W TO 11N104W TO 14N101W TO 15N97W TO 12N96W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N126W 1010 MB. WITHIN 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N126W 1009 MB. WITHIN 90 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 10.5N127W 1008 MB. WITHIN 120 NM
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N137W TO 
29N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N126W TO 26N140W TO 30N140W TO 
30N123W TO 29N126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW TO
N SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 16N TO 20N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 18N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0130 UTC WED OCT 16...

.POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SEVENTEEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG N OF 07N BETWEEN 88W AND 97W.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N126W...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT WITHIN 90 NM SW QUADRANT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 15N134W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 240
NM N QUADRANT. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM PANAMA NEAR 09N80W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13.5N93W
TO 11N100W TO 13N108W TO 11N115W TO 13N122W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
12N126W TO LOW PRES NEAR 15N135W TO 14N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 02N TO 08N BETWEEN 78W AND 83W. NUMEROUS MODERATE 
SCATTERED STRONG N OF 11N BETWEEN 97W AND 102W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF MONSOON 
TROUGH BETWEEN 106W AND 122W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.