000
FZPN03 KNHC 292128
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 29.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 30.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 01.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA NEAR 19.1N 103.5W 1001 MB AT 2100 UTC 
SEP 29 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 17 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 
KT GUSTS 40 KT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM SE QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. WITHIN 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA OVER WATER NEAR 
23.0N 106.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 
120 NM SE QUDARANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 25.7N 109.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT. OVER 
FORECAST WATERS SEAS TO 10 WITHIN THE AREA OF TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA INLAND NEAR 28.5N 
110.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ELSEWHERE EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 99W 
AND 106W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT PRIMARILI 
IN SW SWELL. REMAIDER OF AREA N OF 06N BETWEEN 88W AND 106W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. FROM 
07N TO 14N BETWEEN 106W AND 116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 10N BETWEEN 89W AND 104W...AND FROM 08N 
TO 14N BETWEEN 104W AND 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 12N BETWEEN 104 AND 112W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N134W 1010 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 08N W 
OF 128W TO A LINE FROM 15N130W TO 12.5N134W TO 10N136W TO 
08N140W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. FROM 11N TO 13N 
BETWEEN 120W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY 
IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N130W 1010 MB. WITHIN 180 NM 
SE SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 124W AND 132W...AND FROM FROM 
09N TO 12N BETWEEN 132W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N126W 1009 MB. FROM 16N TO 20N 
BETWEEN 124W AND 129W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
SECOND LOW PRES NEAR 13.5N139W. WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. FROM 20N TO 25N BETWEEN 
127W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN NE 
SWELL. 

.N OF 26N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.06 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N E OF 116W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 23N E OF 116W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N E OF 117W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N E OF 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 01N TO 06N BETWEEN 80W AND 86W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 01N TO 06N BETWEEN 80W AND 86W...AND FROM 
03N TO 05N BETWEEN 90W AND 94W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 01N TO 06N BETWEEN 80W AND 96W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SUN SEP 29...

.T.D. NARDA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM SW SEMICIRCLE...AND 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS MODERATE 
TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM OF A LINE FROM 19N104W TO 21N107W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH CROSSES PANAMA AND EXTENDS ALONG THE PACIFIC 
COAST OF THE REMAINDER OF CENTRAL AMERICA. THEN...CONTINUES W OF 
TROPICAL CYCLONE NARDA FROM 14N108W TO 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE NEAR 
12.5N134W TO BEYOND 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 123W AND 131W...AND 
FROM 08N TO 13N W OF 133W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.