000
FZPN03 KNHC 290245
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 29.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 30.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 01.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...                        
TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 15.4N 100.6W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 
29 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 90 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
OF AREA FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 96W AND 104W...AND FROM 09N TO 
12N BETWEEN 104W AND 112W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 
13 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 04N BETWEEN 86W AND 105W...AND FROM 08N TO 
18N BETWEEN 105W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 18.3N 103.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 20 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90 
NM S AND 30 NM N SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 05N TO 18N BETWEEN 88W 
AND 110W...AND FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 110W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 22.2N 107.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 
NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 98W AND 116W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. FROM 
12N TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT 
PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NARDA NEAR 24.9N 109.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NARDA NEAR 25.5N 109.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW NARDA NEAR 26.5N 
110.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 24N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N TO 
NE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 26N TO 28N W OF 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 130W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N134W 1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM 
SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
09N TO 15N BETWEEN 127W AND 134W...AND FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 
134W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N132W 1008 MB. SECOND LOW PRES 
NEAR 14N136W 1007 MB. WITHIN 90 NM SE QUADRANT OF SECOND LOW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 125W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N E OF 116W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 29 E OF 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 26N E OF 118W NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 28 E OF 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC SUN SEP 29...

T.S. NARDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 14N TO 18N BETWEEN 
100W AND 103.5W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA AND 
ENTERS THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN THROUGH THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC 
NEAR 15N93W...THEN CONTINUES TO 15N100W TO 13N115W TO 14N125W TO 
12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED 
N OF 13N BETWEEN 92W AND 103W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM N OF THE TROUGH 
BETWEEN 103W AND 106W...AND FROM 09N TO 14N W OF 129W. 

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.