000
FZPN03 KNHC 282123
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT SEP 28 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 28.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 29.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 30.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN-E NEAR 15.0N 100.0W 1004 MB 
AT 2100 UTC SEP 28 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE 
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT SW QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 08N 
TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 100W...AND FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 100W 
AND 109W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE N 
OF 05N BETWEEN 86W AND 105W...AND FROM 07N TO 20N BETWEEN 105W 
AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN-E NEAR 18.0N 103.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 20 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
THE AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 05N TO 18N 
BETWEEN 88W AND 110W...AND FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN-E OVER WATER NEAR 22.0N 
107.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT 
AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 93W AND 104W...AND 
FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 104W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN-E OVER WATER NEAR 25.0N 
109.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E INLAND NEAR 
26.0N 109.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SIXTEEN-E NEAR 
27.0N 110.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 24N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N TO 
NE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N BETWEEN 132W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 12N135W 1008 MB. WITHIN 180 NM 
SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N 
TO 14N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N132W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM 
SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N 
TO 15N BETWEEN 125W AND 132W...AND FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 
132W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SAT SEP 28...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG NORTHERN CENTRAL AMERICA AND 
ENTERS THE EPAC THROUGH THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NEAR 16N94W THEN 
CONTINUES TO 15N100W TO 15N120W TO 13N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED N OF 12N BETWEEN 93W AND 
98W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG IS FROM 09N TO 14N W OF 130W...AND WITHIN ABOUT 
129 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 120W AND 130W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.