000
FZPN03 KNHC 281540
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT SEP 28 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 28.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 29.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 30.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN-E NEAR 14.9N 100.4W 1004 MB
AT 1500 UTC SEP 28 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 08N98W TO 12N108W TO 
16N98W TO 13N95W TO 08N98W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 05N96W TO 12N111W TO 16N107W TO 15N93W TO 11N88W
TO 05N96W SW TO W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW 
SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN-E NEAR 16.0N 101.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM S SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE AND 300 NM SE 
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN-E NEAR 17.5N 103.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30
NM NE AND 240 NM SE QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 12N100W TO 12N102W TO 11N107W TO 19N104W TO 18N101W TO 
12N100W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 08N91W TO 08N108W TO 13N108W TO 18N102W TO 13N90W TO 
08N91W SW WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SIXTEEN-E NEAR 22.0N 107.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 20 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS 
TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N105W TO 18N106W TO 19N107W TO 
22N109W TO 23N107W TO 19N105W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 13N95W TO 08N108W TO 11N115W TO 13N107W
TO 18N104W TO 13N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 26.0N 
111.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E NEAR 27.0N 
111.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SIXTEEN-E NEAR 
29.0N 112.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 27N138W TO 26N140W TO 30N140W TO 30N134W TO 29N134W TO
27N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 28N134W TO 28N140W TO 30N140W TO 
30N135W TO 28N134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S TO SW 
SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 09N137W TO 11N139W TO 14N131W TO
16N125W TO 14N123W TO 09N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
SE TO S SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N115W TO 28N117W TO 30N118W TO
30N116W TO 29N115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW 
SWELL AND NW WIND WAVES.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SAT SEP 28...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N76W TO 10N82W TO 15N90W TO 
14.5N100W TO 15N125W TO 12N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED
STRONG FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 105W AND 107W. SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 120 NM OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 93W AND 107W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 03N TO 07N E OF 80W...AND WITHIN
180 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH W OF 122W.

$$
.FORECASTER REINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.