000
FZPN03 KNHC 231521
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON SEP 23 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 25.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 15.7N 135.8W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 
23 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N 
AND 150 NM S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.6N 138.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 
120 NM S WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO W OF AREA NEAR 19.6N 
140.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS FROM 20N TO 22N W OF 138W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KIKO NEAR 19.7N 
143.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KIKO NEAR 19.3N 
145.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MARIO NEAR 25.0N 114.3W 1007 MB AT 1500 
UTC SEP 23 MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIO NEAR 26.0N 
114.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIO NEAR 26.9N 
114.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.ELSEWHERE EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...FROM 19N TO 26N W OF 133W NE 
TO NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 27N W OF 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...W OF A LINE 
FROM 27N140W TO 17N132W TO 07N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...FROM 13N TO 
25N W OF 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N99.5W 1009 MB. FROM 08N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 90W 
AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. FROM 
06N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 
FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N101W 1009 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 08N TO 13N BETWEEN 110W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 108N TO 13N BETWEEN 112W AND 120W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 122W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28.5N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC MON SEP 23...

.T.S. KIKO...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 13N TO 17N 
BETWEEN 134W AND 138W. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N99.5W...NUMEROUS MODERATE FROM 11N TO 13N 
BETWEEN 100W AND 102.5W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W N OF 05N...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N 
TO 16N BETWEEN 91W AND 98W.  

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W FROM 05N TO 16N...SCATTERED MODERATE 
FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N84W TO 1012 MB LOW PRESSURE 
NEAR 12N99.5W TO 14N112W TO 13N125W, THEN RESUMES WEST OF T.S. 
KIKO FROM 13N137W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS FROM 02N TO 07N E OF 81W, AND WITHIN ABOUT 150 NM 
S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 110W AND 121W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.