000
FZPN03 KNHC 220922
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 24.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.0N 132.9W 1006 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 
22 MOVING SW OR 235 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM NE QUADRANT...15 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 
120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM E 
AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 23N BETWEEN 129W AND 140W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 15.7N 135.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 10 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 14 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 133W AND 138W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 23N W OF 
131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.3N 137.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS 
TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 134W AND 140W WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N TO 26N 
W OF 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 19.5N 139.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KIKO NEAR 19.0N 
140.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KIKO NEAR 18.0N 
140.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENA NEAR 28.3N 111.5W 1005 MB AT 0900 
UTC SEP 22 MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 27N TO 28.5N 
BETWEEN 110W AND 112W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENA INLAND NEAR 29.7N 
111.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIO NEAR 21.0N 111.3W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC 
SEP 22 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 
KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 
109W AND 112W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER AREA 
FROM 08N TO 24N BETWEEN 104W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT.   
.12 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIO NEAR 22.0N 
112.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 11 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 24N BETWEEN 105W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIO NEAR 23.4N 
113.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 21N TO 24N BETWEEN 111W AND 113W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIO NEAR 25.9N 
113.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 15 KT GUSTS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.FROM 02N TO 09N BETWEEN 86W AND 105W. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN S TO SW 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN 92W AND 107W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.33 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.18 HOUR FORECAST FROM 06N TO 17N BETWEEN 107W AND 125W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 119W AND 128W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0915 UTC SUN SEP 22...

.SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 132W AND 134W 
ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM KIKO.

.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 91W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 11N 
BETWEEN 90W AND 98W.

.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 96W AND 108W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 12N92W TO 11N100W...THEN 
RESUMES FROM 14N133W TO 11N139W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 
09N BETWEEN 80W AND 86W...AND FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 112W 
AND 128W.

$$
.FORECASTER NR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.