000
FZPN03 KNHC 210954
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LORENA NEAR 24.6N 110.3W 986 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 21 
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NE AND SW 
QUADRANTS...20 NM NW QUADRANT AND 40 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 15 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 
22N TO 26N E OF 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 27.5N 111.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE...50 NM SE...30 NM SW AND 20 NM NW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENA NEAR 29.9N 112.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 45 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.8N 130.3W 997 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 21 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 
65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
40 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE AND SW 
QUADRANTS...90 NM NW QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 
20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 23N BETWEEN 128W AND 
138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.0N 132.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 14N TO 23N BETWEEN 129W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.7N 134.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 23N BETWEEN 131W AND 140W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.3N 136.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.9N 137.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO NEAR 18.6N 139.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 18.9N 110.3W 995 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 
21 MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE AND SW 
QUADRANTS...50 NM NW QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 20N 
BETWEEN 108W AND 113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N TO 21N BETWEEN 105W AND 116W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 20.8N 111.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 
NM E AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 24N BETWEEN 105W AND 119W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIO NEAR 22.3N 112.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIO NEAR 23.7N 113.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 90 NM NE 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIO NEAR 25.6N 
115.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 02N TO 07N BETWEEN 84W AND 97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 02N TO 08N BETWEEN 88W AND 100W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 96W AND 103W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.S OF 01S BETWEEN 105W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S BETWEEN 108W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 113W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SAT SEP 21...

.HURRICANE LORENA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 24N TO 26N 
BETWEEN 109W AND 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 22N TO 
28N BETWEEN 107W AND 112W.

.TROPICAL STORM KIKO...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 
18N TO 21N BETWEEN 129W AND 131W. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE 
FROM 15N TO 23N BETWEEN 127W AND 133W.

.TROPICAL STORM MARIO...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 17N TO 
19N BETWEEN 110W AND 115W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 16N132W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 
10N TO 14N BETWEEN 109W AND 126W.  

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.