000
FZPN03 KNHC 202210
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI SEP 20 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 22.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LORENA NEAR 23.2N 109.3W 987 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 20
NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...20 
NM NW QUADRANT AND 40 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...45 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 21N TO 24N BETWEEN 
108W AND 111W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 20N TO 25N E OF 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 25.5N 111.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...40 NM NW QUADRANT AND 70
NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 24N TO 27N BETWEEN 110W AND 
113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER 
GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 23N WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENA NEAR 28.5N 113.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 60 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LORENA NEAR 30.0N 
115.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.9N 130.8W 999 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 20
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF
CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 22N BETWEEN 127W AND 136W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.1N 132.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE AND
180 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA FROM 14N TO 22N BETWEEN 128W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.9N 134.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 21N BETWEEN
130W AND 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.5N 136.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.2N 137.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.5N 139.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 18.0N 110.0W 992 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP
20 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE AND SW
QUADRANTS...50 NM NW QUADRANT AND 100 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE
QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 107W AND 113W WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 20N
BETWEEN 104W AND 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 19.8N 110.6W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM E AND 60 NM W
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 22N BETWEEN
108W AND 113W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 102W AND 116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 22.6N 112.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 21N TO 24N BETWEEN 110W AND 114W WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIO NEAR 25.3N 
114.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR 
FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIO NEAR 26.5N 116.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 04N TO 06N BETWEEN 88W AND 95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 04N TO 08N BETWEEN 87W AND 98W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 89W AND 102W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.S OF 01S W OF 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S W OF 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC FRI SEP 20...

.HURRICANE LORENA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 22N TO 25N
BETWEEN 108W AND 111W.

.TROPICAL STORM KIKO...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN
60 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 17N
TO 20N BETWEEN 127W AND 133W.

.TROPICAL STORM MARIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN
60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 15N 
TO 19N BETWEEN 109W AND 113W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 08N78W TO 08N82W TO 10N87W TO
06N96W...THEN RESUMES FROM 14N114W TO 16N125W...THEN CONTINUES
FROM 1008 MB LOW PRES NEAR 14N134W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
WITHIN 180 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 80W AND 84W...FROM 11N
TO 15N BETWEEN 120W AND 124W...WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT OF LOW
PRES...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF MONSOON TROUGH W OF 134W.

$$
.FORECASTER REINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.