000
FZPN03 KNHC 192216
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2230 UTC THU SEP 19 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 21.6N 107.0W 994 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 
19 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 104W AND 108W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N 
TO 20N E OF 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENA NEAR 22.4N 108.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENA NEAR 22.8N 109.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 24N BETWEEN 104W AND 110W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 24.4N 112.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER AND WINDS 20 TO 33 KT WITHIN 180 
NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 13N TO 25N BETWEEN 101W AND 109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 27.0N 114.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LORENA NEAR 29.0N 
115.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.3N 129.3W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 
19 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM SE AND WITHIN 210 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 12N TO 21N BETWEEN 125W AND 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.5N 130.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 128W AND 133W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 
TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 23N BETWEEN 127W AND 
138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.8N 132.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 165 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 27 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 129W AND 135W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 24N 
BETWEEN 128W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.0N 134.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.0N 136.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.0N 138.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 17.1N 110.4W 999 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 
19 MOVING NE OR 050 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 40 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM 
NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 18N 
BETWEEN 108W AND 114W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N TO 20N BETWEEN 108W AND 117W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 19.0N 109.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 17N BETWEEN 108W AND 113W 
SW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 
08N TO 26N BETWEEN 105W AND 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 21.2N 111.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 24 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N TO 25N BETWEEN 101W AND 
116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 22.9N 114.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 24.5N 116.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIO NEAR 25.0N 
118.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N136W 1007 MB. WITHIN 150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 
120 NM QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N136W 1007 MB. CONDITIONS 
MERGED WITH TROPICAL STORM KIKO. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N137W 1009 MB. LITTLE CHANGE.

.S OF 01S BETWEEN 111W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S BETWEEN 105W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.   
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S BETWEEN 107W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2145 UTC THU SEP 19...

.TROPICAL STORM KIKO...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 
15N TO 18N BETWEEN 127W AND 130W.

.HURRICANE LORENA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 19N TO 23N 
BETWEEN 105W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
FROM 14N TO 23N BETWEEN 103W AND 110W.

.TROPICAL STORM MARIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 15N TO 
18N BETWEEN 110W AND 115W. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 11N 
TO 19N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W N OF 03N...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 03N 
TO 10N BETWEEN 80W AND 94W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W N OF 04N...SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 93W AND 98W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N82W TO 09N87W TO 11N92W...THEN RESUMES 
FROM LOW PRES 1007 MB NEAR 11N136W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE FROM 11N TO 17N W OF 132W.

$$
.FORECASTER NR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.