000
FZPN03 KNHC 190925
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1030 UTC THU SEP 19 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LORENA NEAR 19.6N 105.0W 990 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 19 
MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...20 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 21N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENA NEAR 21.2N 107.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 105W AND 108W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N 
TO 22N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENA NEAR 22.2N 110.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...50 NM NW QUADRANT AND 70 NM 
SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 
24N BETWEEN 105W AND 111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 24.0N 111.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 26.0N 113.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENA NEAR 28.0N 114.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 15.9N 111.9W 998 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 
19 MOVING N OR 355 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 40 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 210 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM E AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N 
TO 19N BETWEEN 106W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIO NEAR 17.4N 111.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM E AND 40 NM W SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 120 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 
TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 08N TO 22N BETWEEN 107W AND 
118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 18.4N 111.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 20.9N 113.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 23.2N 115.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW MARIO NEAR 25.0N 
117.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 15.9N 128.2W 998 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 19 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 
65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 
NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 
NM SE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 21N BETWEEN 125W AND 132W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.6N 129.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.3N 130.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.7N 131.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 129W AND 133W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N 
TO 23N BETWEEN 126W AND 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.1N 132.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 16.3N 135.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.6N 137.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N135W 1008 MB. WITHIN 210 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N136W 1009 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 02S BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00S BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.   
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00S BETWEEN 102W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC THU SEP 19...

.TROPICAL STORM KIKO...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
75 NM N AND 45 NM S OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 125W AND 129W.

.HURRICANE LORENA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 18N 
TO 21N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 15N TO 23N 
BETWEEN 101W AND 110W.

.TROPICAL STORM MARIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12N TO 17N 
BETWEEN 110W AND 115W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 04N 
TO 09N BETWEEN 77W AND 85W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 07N85W TO 15N101W...THEN RESUMES 
NEAR 14N131W TO LOW PRES 1008 MB NEAR 14N135W TO BEYOND 11N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 15N W OF 133W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.