000 FZPN03 KNHC 190305 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC THU SEP 19 2019 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 19. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 20. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 21. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 17.9N 104.4W 993 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 18 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENA NEAR 19.2N 105.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENA NEAR 20.1N 106.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF HURRICANE CENTER WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 19N TO 21N BETWEEN 105W AND 107W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 22N BETWEEN 103W AND 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENA NEAR 21.2N 108.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 24N BETWEEN 104W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENA NEAR 22.5N 110.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 24.5N 113.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 26.6N 115.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 15.4N 112.2W 998 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 19 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 210 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 106W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIO NEAR 17.1N 112.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 08N TO 22N BETWEEN 107W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIO NEAR 18.2N 112.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 19N BETWEEN 109W AND 115W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07N TO 26N BETWEEN 104W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 20.2N 113.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 22.7N 115.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 24.8N 117.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 15.8N 127.8W 998 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 19 MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM SE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 21N BETWEEN 125W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.2N 129.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM SE AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 21N BETWEEN 126W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 16.7N 130.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.2N 130.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 20N BETWEEN 129W AND 133W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 23N BETWEEN 126W AND 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.1N 132.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 16.1N 134.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.0N 137.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .LOW PRES NEAR 14N135W 1008 MB. WITHIN 210 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N136W 1009 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 1010 MB NEAR 14N136W 1010 MB. LITTLE CHANGE. .S OF 2.5S BETWEEN 110W AND 119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 0N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 0N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0245 UTC THU SEP 19... .TROPICAL STORM KIKO...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 18N BETWEEN 124W AND 130W. .TROPICAL STORM LORENA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN 103W AND 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 101W AND 110W. .TROPICAL STORM MARIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 110W AND 114W. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 110W AND 120W. .TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 04N BETWEEN 77W AND 85W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO 07N85W TO 15N101W...THEN RESUMES NEAR 14N131W TO LOW PRES 1008 MB NEAR 14N135W TO BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 15N W OF 133W. $$ .FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.