000 FZPN03 KNHC 180935 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC WED SEP 18 2019 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 18. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 19. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 20. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 16.1N 103.0W 1000 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 18 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE...60 NM SE...80 NM SW AND 20 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...45 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE...210 NM SE...150 NM SW...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 93W AND 102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 18.5N 104.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM N AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 13N TO COAST BETWEEN 99W AND 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENA NEAR 20.1N 106.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENA NEAR 21.5N 108.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 23.2N 111.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 25.6N 112.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 13.7N 110.0W 1003 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 18 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE IN SE SEMICIRCLE FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 106W AND 114W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 15.7N 112.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE...150 NM SE QUADRANTS AMD 0 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT...AND ACROSS SE SEMICIRCLE FROM 08N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 107W AND 118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07.5N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 104W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIO NEAR 16.7N 113.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...50 NM NW QUADRANT AND 80 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 390 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N TO 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIO NEAR 17.5N 112.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 19.0N 113.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 21.0N 114.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.5N 125.9W 1002 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 18 MOVING WSW OR 240 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 122W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.1N 127.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.6N 129.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12.5N TO 20N BETWEEN 124W AND 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.2N 130.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 16.7N 132.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 16.0N 135.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .LOW PRES NEAR 14N135W 1008 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 131W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N136W 1009 MB. WITHIN 90 NM NW QUADRANT NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 135W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N137W 1010 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 110W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00S BETWEEN 109W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC WED SEP 18... .TROPICAL STORM KIKO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 45 NM NW AND 75 NM SE SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES. .TROPICAL STORM LORENA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 45 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLES. .TROPICAL STORM MARIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 30 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SW QUADRANT. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N78W TO 09N85W TO 14N97W...RESUMES FROM 14N131W TO LOW PRES NEAR 14N135W TO BEYOND 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG N OF 05N E OF 85W...AND FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 110W AND 121W. $$ .FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.