000 FZPN03 KNHC 172154 CCA HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 17. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 18. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 19. .WARNINGS. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.8N 125.1W 995 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 17 MOVING WSW OR 240 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 122W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.2N 126.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. LITTLE CHANGE ELSEWHERE. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.5N 128.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12.5N TO 20N BETWEEN 124W AND 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.0N 130.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.0N 131.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 16.0N 133.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 14.6N 101.3W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 17 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE...210 NM SE...150 NM SW...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 93W AND 102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 17.3N 103.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM NE AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM N AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 13N TO COAST BETWEEN 99W AND 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR THE COAST NEAR 19.2N 104.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 30 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 20.5N 106.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 22.0N 109.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 23.5N 112.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 12.3N 108.7W 1006 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 17 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE ACROSS SE SEMICIRCLE...FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 106W AND 114W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 14.7N 111.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE...150 NM SE QUADRANTS AMD 0 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT...AND ACROSS SE SEMICIRCLE FROM 08N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 107W AND 118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 07.5N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 104W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 16.5N 113.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 390 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N TO 20N BETWEEN 105W AND 119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIO NEAR 16.8N 114.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIO NEAR 17.0N 115.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIO NEAR 18.0N 116.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .LOW PRES NEAR 14.5N134.5W 1008 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 131W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N136W 1009 MB. WITHIN 90 NM NW QUADRANT NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 135W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING LOW PRES NEAR 14N137W 10101 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC TUE SEP 17... .TROPICAL STORM KIKO...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES. .TROPICAL STORM LORENA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 270 NM NE...180 NM SE...330 NM SW...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANTS. .TROPICAL STORM MARIO...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 500 NM SW QUADRANTS. .LOW PRES NEAR 14.5N134.5W...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM W QUADRANT. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N74W TO E OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 13.5N97W...THEN BRIEFLY RESUMES AT 11N112W TO 17N120W...THEN RESUMES AGAIN NEAR 14.5N129W TO LOW PRES NEAR 14.5N134.5W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION N OF 04.5N E OF 83W...FROM 08.5N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 90W AND 97W...FROM 11.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 121W AND 128W...AND FROM 07.5N TO 10N W OF 137W. $$ .FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.