000 FZPN03 KNHC 171551 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 17. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 18. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 19. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.0N 125.0W 987 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 17 MOVING WSW OR 255 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 21N BETWEEN 121W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.7N 125.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 21N BETWEEN 122W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.4N 126.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. LITTLE CHANGE OVER ELSEWHERE AND REMAINDER AREAS. .36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 16.3N 127.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 21N BETWEEN 123W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 16.5N 128.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER OF KIKO WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 21N BETWEEN 124W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.2N 130.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.3N 131.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.5N 133.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 13.7N 100.0W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 17 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS TO 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT AND FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 102W SW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 16.3N 102.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM NE AND NW QUADRANTS...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 18.5N 104.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 20.0N 106.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 21.0N 108.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 22.0N 110.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E NEAR 11.9N 108.2W 1008 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 17 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 8 KT. WITHIN 30 NM NE QUADRANT E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 104W AND 110W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FOURTEEN-E NEAR 12.9N 108.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT AND FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 105W AND 114W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FOURTEEN-E NEAR 14.5N 110.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT AND FROM 09N TO 15N BETWEEN 106W AND 114W WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. FROM 07N TO 09N BETWEEN 106W AND 115W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FOURTEEN-E NEAR 16.5N 113.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 109W AND 117W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FOURTEEN-E NEAR 17.1N 114.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FOURTEEN-E NEAR 17.3N 115.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FOURTEEN-E NEAR 17.5N 117.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .LOW PRES NEAR 15N135W 1008 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 130W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N135W 1008 MB. WITHIN 60 NM SE AND 90 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 17N BETWEEN 130W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING LOW PRES NEAR 15N136W 1009 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1530 UTC TUE SEP 17... .HURRICANE KIKO...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM E AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLES. .TROPICAL STORM LORENA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 180 NM NW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM SW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 15N97W TO 16N102W. .TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. .LOW PRES NEAR 15N135W 1008 MB...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM SW QUADRANT. .TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W N OF 05N...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 90W AND 96W. .SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 07N E OF 80W TO COAST OF COLOMBIA. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N84W TO E OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA NEAR 13N98W. IT BRIEFLY RESUMES AT 13N102W TO 12N106W. IT CONTINUES SW OF HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 15N129W TO LOW PRES NEAR 15N135W 1008 MB AND TO BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 112W AND 118W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 82W AND 84W. $$ .FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.