000
FZPN03 KNHC 170930
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.2N 124.7W 985 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 17 
MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 
85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 120 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 13N TO 21N BETWEEN 121W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.9N 125.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.7N 126.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 16.8N 128.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.5N 129.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.7N 131.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.0N 132.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N108W 1008 MB. WITHIN 270 NM SE SEMICIRCLE S TO 
SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SECOND LOW PRES NEAR 
12N98W 1008 MB. FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 99W WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W 
AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
13N111W 1007 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLE S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SECOND LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL 
CYCLONE...NEAR 15N103W 1008 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 98W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N114W 1005 MB. WITHIN 90 NM NE...270 NM SE...360 NM SW...AND 0 
NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. SECOND LOW 
PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 17N104W 1010 MB. WITHIN 
120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 18N BETWEEN 101W AND 117W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL.

.LOW PRES NEAR 14N134W 1008 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 90 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
12N TO 16N BETWEEN 130W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N135W 1008 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 
17N BETWEEN 130W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N136W 1009 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC TUE SEP 17...

.HURRICANE KIKO...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 
NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES.

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N108W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 07N 
TO 14N BETWEEN 107W AND 113W.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N98W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 
NM SW OF LOW. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 10N85W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12N98W TO LOW 
PRES NEAR 11N108W TO 14N118W...RESUMES NEAR 15N128W TO LOW PRES 
NEAR 14N134W TO BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 09N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 106W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.