000
FZPN03 KNHC 170239
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.2N 124.4W 982 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 17 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 
90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER.  SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE 
QUADRANT...75 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N 
TO 21N BETWEEN 119W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.7N 125.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 22N 
BETWEEN 119W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.6N 128.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 180 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 11.5N TO 21.5N BETWEEN 122W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.2N 129.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.7N 130.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.2N 132.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 10N107.5W 1009 MB. WITHIN 270 NM SE SEMICIRCLE S 
TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SECOND LOW PRES NEAR 
11N97.5W 1008 MB. FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 99W WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 13N BETWEEN 92W 
AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
12.5N108.5W 1009 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLES S TO SW WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SECOND LOW PRES...POSSIBLE 
TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 14.5N102W 1010 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
06.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
9 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N112.5W 1008 MB. WITHIN 90 NM NE...270 NM SE...360 NM SW...AND 
0 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. SECOND LOW 
PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 17N104W 1010 MB. WITHIN 
120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 18N BETWEEN 102W AND 
118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL.

.LOW PRES NEAR 13.5N134W 1007 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 180 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
11.5N TO 16N BETWEEN 129W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N134.5W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM 
NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 12.5N TO 17N BETWEEN 130W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14.5N135W 1007 MB. WITHIN 120 NM 
NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0200 UTC MON SEP 16...

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N97.5W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 
150 NM W AND 45 NM E SEMICIRCLES.

.HURRICANE KIKO...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 
NM SW SEMICIRCLE.

.LOW PRES NEAR 13.5N134W...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 210 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10.5N73W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N97.5W 
TO LOW PRES NEAR 10N107.5W TO 12.5N110W...THEN RESUMES TO THE SW 
OF KIKO NEAR 14N128W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13.5N134W TO BEYOND 
11N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED 
FROM 06N TO 16N BETWEEN 80W AND 97W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS 
MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 10N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 99W AND 104W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 07N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 106W AND 
116W.  

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.