000
FZPN03 KNHC 162148
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON SEP 16 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.3N 124.1W 974 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 16 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 
105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 21N BETWEEN 119W 
AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 16.8N 125.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 22N 
BETWEEN 119W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.6N 126.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.6N 127.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 180 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 11.5N TO 21.5N BETWEEN 122W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.0N 129.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.3N 130.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.3N 132.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 10N107.5W 1010 MB. WITHIN 270 NM SE SEMICIRCLE S 
TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. SECOND LOW PRES NEAR 
11N97W 1009 MB. FROM 07N TO 14N BETWEEN 93W AND 99W WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 92W 
AND 111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
12.5N108.5W 1009 MB. WITHIN 300 NM SE SEMICIRCLES S TO SW WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. SECOND LOW PRES...POSSIBLE 
TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 14.5N102W 1010 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLE SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
06.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
9 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
15N112.5W 1008 MB. WITHIN 90 NM NE...270 NM SE...360 NM SW...AND 
0 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. SECOND LOW 
PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 17N104W 1010 MB. WITHIN 
120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 18N BETWEEN 102W AND 
118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL.

.LOW PRES NEAR 13N134W 1008 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 180 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
10N TO 16N BETWEEN 129W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N134W 1010 MB. WITHIN 150 NM 
NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 130W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N133W 1009 MB. WITHIN 90 NM NW 
AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 131W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95.5W... 
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1545 UTC MON SEP 16...

.LOW PRES NEAR 11N97W...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 300 
NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES.

.HURRICANE KIKO...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM N 
AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 90 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES.

.LOW PRES NEAR 13N134W...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N74W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N97W TO 
LOW PRES NEAR 10N107.5W TO 12.5N110W...THEN RESUMES TO THE SW OF 
KIKO NEAR 13N129W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N134W TO BEYOND 10N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED FROM 06N TO 11N 
E OF 90W...FROM 06N TO 10.5N BETWEEN 90W AND 95.5W...AND FROM 
07N TO 13N BETWEEN 107W AND 116W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.