761 FZPN03 KNHC 161551 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC MON SEP 16 2019 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 16. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 17. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 18. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.3N 123.7W 971 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 16 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 22N BETWEEN 117W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 129W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.2N 125.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 22N BETWEEN 118W AND 139W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.7N 127.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER..EXCEPT 210 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 23N BETWEEN 119W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.9N 129.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.3N 130.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.3N 132.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .LOW PRES NEAR 11N107W 1009 MB. SECOND LOW PRES NEAR 12N97W 1009 MB. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08N94W TO 06N110W TO 11N104W TO 08N94W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .18 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 11.5N107W 1009 MB. SECOND LOW PRES...ALSO POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 12N101W 1009 MB. WITHIN 10N94W TO 08N113W TO 13N107W TO 14N102W TO 10N94W SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 12N108W 1009 MB. SECOND LOW PRES...ALSO POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 13N103W 1008 MB. WITHIN 10N94W TO 08N113W TO 13N107W TO 13N103W TO 10N94W SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .42 HOUR FORECAST FIRST LOW PRES TO WEAKEN WITH DOMINANT LOW PRES NEAR...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 14N108W 1007 MB. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N100W TO 06N117W TO 08N118W TO 13N109W TO 17N107W TO 11N100W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 15N109W 1005 MB. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 14N103W TO 11N101W TO 09N108W TO 08N111W TO 08N118W TO 12N114W TO 15N109W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15.5N95.5W... INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1545 UTC MON SEP 16... .HURRICANE KIKO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 30 NE AND SE QUADRANTS. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM NE AMD 90 NM SW QUADRANTS. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM SW AND 60 NM NW QUADRANTS. .TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 107W FROM 04N TO 18N WITH LOW PRES NEAR 11N107W 1009 MB... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM W AND NW QUADRANTS OF LOW. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM E OF WAVE FROM 08N TO 10N. .TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 97W FROM 04N TO 16N WITH LOW PRES NEAR 12N97W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM E OF WAVE FROM 11N TO 15N. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM W AND 60 NM E OF WAVE FROM 09N TO 12N. .TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 84W N OF 04N...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM W AND 60 NM E OF WAVE FROM 05N TO 08N. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N86W TO 111N93W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12N97W AND TO LOW PRES NEAR 11N107W. IT RESUMES TO THE SW OF KIKO NEAR 14N125W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13N134W 1008 MB AND TO 11.5N140W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION DESCRIBED ABOVE WITH TROPICAL WAVES AND LOW PRES...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 60 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 90W AND 94W...WITHIN 60 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 131W AND 134W AND FROM 07N TO 10N W OF 135W. SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 94W AND 97W AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 101W AND 105W. $$ .FORECASTER REINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.