000
FZPN03 KNHC 160947
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON SEP 16 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.2N 123.1W 963 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 16
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N119W TO 
13N125W TO 19N127W TO 21N122W TO 15N119W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
10 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA 12N117W TO 10N129W
TO 20N129W TO 21N121W TO 12N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.2N 124.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 15N122W TO 14N126W TO 19N128W TO 20N123W TO 19N122W TO 
15N122W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 12N119W TO 12N133W TO 21N130W TO 22N124W
TO 12N119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 16.8N 126.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N123W TO 14N128W 
TO 19N129W TO 19N126W TO 18N124W TO 15N123W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N121W
TO 11N132W TO 20N132W TO 22N125W TO 15N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.0N 128.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.2N 130.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.3N 131.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES 10.5N106.5W 1009 MB. WITHIN 08N95W TO 06N110W TO 
11N104W TO 08N95W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
11.5N107W 1009 MB. SECOND LOW PRES...ALSO POSSIBLE TROPICAL 
CYCLONE...NEAR 12N101W 1009 MB. WITHIN 10N94W TO 08N113W TO 
13N107W TO 14N102W TO 10N94W SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
14N106W 1008 MB. WITHIN 11N100W TO 06N117W TO 08N118W TO 13N109W
TO 19N106W TO 11N100W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
IN W SWELL.

.WITHIN 14N95W TO 14N96W TO 15N95W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO
14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC MON SEP 16...

.NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF HURRICANE KIKO.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 121W
AND 125W.

.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM
14N TO 16N BETWEEN 95W AND 98W...AND FROM 08N TO 12N WITHIN 60 NM
E OF WAVE AXIS.

.TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 107W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 12N 
WITHIN 90 NM W OF WAVE AXIS.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 11N75W TO 10N90W TO 12.5N102W 
TO 1009 MB LOW PRES NEAR 10.5N106.5W...THEN RESUMES FROM 13N126W
TO 1010 MB LOW PRES NEAR 13N134W TO 11.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 85W AND 
94W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 08N TO 12N W OF 136W.

$$
.FORECASTER REINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.