000 FZPN03 KNHC 160249 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC MON SEP 16 2019 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 16. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 17. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 18. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.2N 122.6W 954 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 16 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 116W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.3N 124.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 22.5N BETWEEN 117W AND 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.0N 125.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM SE AND 210 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 21.5N BETWEEN 119W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.0N 127.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.4N 129.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.6N 131.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .FROM 05N TO 07.5N BETWEEN 80W AND 88W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. FROM 05.5N TO 11N BETWEEN 93W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 97W AND 108W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07.5N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 93W AND 1090W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N104W 1008 MB. SECOND LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N110W 1007 MB. AREA WITHIN 14N106W TO 10N105W TO 07N116W TO 11.5N110W TO 14N106W...MAINLY S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 05.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .LOW PRES NEAR 13.5N134.5W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 128W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13.5N133W 1008 MB. WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 129W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 17N BETWEEN 134W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .06 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .18 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0200 UTC MON SEP 16... .HURRICANE KIKO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N73W TO 10.5N90W TO 12.5N107W...AND RESUMES FROM 13N127W TO LOW PRES NEAR 13.5N134.5W TO BEYOND 11.5N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 05N TO 13N E OF 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 07.5N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 91W AND 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 08N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 137W AND 140W. $$ .FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.