000
FZPN03 KNHC 151610
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN SEP 15 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.0N 121.1W 950 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 15 
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 150 NM SE QUADRANTS AND 
180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. FROM 10N TO 21N BETWEEN 
116W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.3N 123.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
FROM 11N TO 22N BETWEEN 117W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.5N 125.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE AND 150 NM NW QUADRANTS 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. FROM 12N TO 24N BETWEEN 120W AND 131W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.5N 126.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 18.0N 129.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.5N 131.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.15 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.27 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W N TO NE WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.33 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 94W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 06N TO 12N BETWEEN 97W AND 112W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 

.FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 131W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SUN SEP 15...

.HURRICANE KIKO...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER IN E 
SEMICIRCLE, AND WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER IN W SEMICIRCLE. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 135 NM OF CENTER IN N 
SEMICIRCLE, AND WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER IN S SEMICIRCLE. 

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 92W/93W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 
09N TO 15N BETWEEN 91W AND 95W. 

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 99W/100W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 07N TO 16N BETWEEN 97W AND 102W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 114W/115W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 113W AND 118W. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 103W AND 
107W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N82W TO 12N99W TO 10N108W 11N111W...AND 
RESUMES FROM 12N123W TO 12N126W TO 14N133W BEYOND 13N140W. 
SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 100 NM N OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 80W 
AND 83W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 240 NM S OF MONSOON 
TROUGH E OF 83W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 
NM N OF MONSOON TROUGH AND WITHIN 60 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH 
BETWEEN 86W AND 91W. 

$$
.FORECASTER MT. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.