000 FZPN03 KNHC 150950 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC SUN SEP 15 2019 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 15. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 16. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 17. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 16.9N 120.7W 954 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 15 MOVING W OR 265 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 150 NM SE QUADRANTS AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. FROM 10N TO 21N BETWEEN 116W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.2N 122.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. FROM 11N TO 22N BETWEEN 117W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.6N 124.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE AND 150 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. FROM 12N TO 24N BETWEEN 120W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 17.8N 126.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 18.1N 128.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.5N 131.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .FROM 06N TO 11N BETWEEN 95W AND 108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 96W AND 106W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 07N TO 13N BETWEEN 95W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 131W AND 137W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 15N W OF 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 13N134.5W 1010 MB. WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SUN SEP 15... .NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF HURRICANE KIKO. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NW QUADRANT. .TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 91W. NUMEROUS STRONG N OF 10N BETWEEN 88W AND 91W. .TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 17N WITHIN 120 NM OF WAVE AXIS. .TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 113W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N TO 15N WITHIN 90 NM OF WAVE AXIS. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N76W TO 10N95W TO 12N100W TO 11N104W TO 16N110W...THEN RESUMES FROM 13N124W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 03N TO 08N E OF 81W...AND FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W...AND WITHIN 120 NM OF MONSOON TROUGH W OF 135W. $$ .FORECASTER REINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.